Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.204294 0.232161 0.262030 0.296378 0.334738 0.376211 0.424392
2026-01-18 0.170105 0.207963 0.251199 0.304058 0.366755 0.438555 0.526805
2026-01-25 0.145489 0.189507 0.242600 0.310981 0.396298 0.498785 0.630723
2026-02-01 0.123316 0.170161 0.229527 0.309633 0.414159 0.545089 0.720556
2026-02-08 0.106328 0.154672 0.218751 0.308924 0.431383 0.590565 0.811552
2026-02-15 0.092493 0.141309 0.208755 0.307386 0.446283 0.632957 0.900415
2026-02-22 0.083897 0.134003 0.205873 0.314654 0.472864 0.691840 1.014375
2026-03-01 0.074519 0.124264 0.198239 0.313955 0.487486 0.734433 1.107728
2026-03-08 0.066717 0.115899 0.191572 0.313661 0.502051 0.777127 1.203007
2026-03-15 0.060124 0.108607 0.185663 0.313664 0.516542 0.819970 1.300292
2026-03-22 0.055736 0.104389 0.184056 0.319982 0.540740 0.878168 1.423111
2026-03-29 0.052289 0.101342 0.183955 0.328485 0.568617 0.943133 1.559262
2026-04-05 0.047861 0.096161 0.179941 0.330390 0.586317 0.993859 1.677185
2026-04-12 0.045003 0.093498 0.179949 0.338975 0.615404 1.064032 1.829356
2026-04-19 0.042278 0.090765 0.179533 0.346676 0.643335 1.133659 1.984057
2026-04-26 0.038538 0.085625 0.174255 0.345226 0.655281 1.177440 2.098516
2026-05-03 0.035291 0.081080 0.169621 0.344464 0.668170 1.223190 2.218176
2026-05-10 0.032272 0.076643 0.164752 0.342778 0.679104 1.265913 2.334483
2026-05-17 0.030639 0.074948 0.165039 0.350803 0.708050 1.340979 2.509427
2026-05-24 0.028221 0.071255 0.160986 0.350036 0.720507 1.387535 2.636766
2026-05-31 0.026076 0.067916 0.157334 0.349713 0.733640 1.435738 2.768962
2026-06-07 0.024158 0.064870 0.154000 0.349717 0.747276 1.485325 2.905635
2026-06-14 0.022995 0.063482 0.154072 0.356687 0.774833 1.561610 3.093799